Arkansas State
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 69.9128Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H SE Mo` St 42-24 906 A Arkansas SEC ( 2-10, 78.1) 14-56 913 H Iowa St B12 ( 7- 4, 81.0) 16-24 920 A Kennesaw St CUSA (10- 4, 73.9) 21-28 927 A La-Monroe SUN ( 3- 9, 63.5) 16-28 1004 H Texas State SUN ( 5- 8, 71.5) 31-30 1014 A So Alabama SUN ( 4- 8, 67.5) 15-14 1025 H Georgia So SUN ( 8- 6, 71.2) 31-21 1101 A Troy SUN ( 8- 6, 71.6) 23-10 1108 H So Miss SUN ( 6- 7, 68.2) 21-27 1120 H Louisiana SUN ( 7- 5, 69.5) 30-34 1129 A App St SUN ( 5- 8, 66.4) 30-29 1218 N Missouri St ( 7- 6, 70.3) 34-28
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Arkansas 14-56 -42 -13 -0.59
913 H Iowa St 16-24 -8 -6 - -2.19
920 A Kennesaw St 21-28 -7 -9 + 2.28
927 A La-Monroe 16-28 -12 1 --- -13.18
1004 H Texas State 31-30 1 4 - -2.71
1014 A So Alabama 15-14 1 -3 + 3.82
1025 H Georgia So 31-21 10 4 +++ 6.03
1101 A Troy 23-10 13 -7 +++ 19.94
1108 H So Miss 21-27 -6 7 --- -12.97
1120 H Louisiana 30-34 -4 6 --- -9.63
1129 A App St 30-29 1 -2 + 2.77
1218 N Missouri St 34-28 6 0 +++ 6.42
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 A La-Monroe 16-28 -12 1 --- -13.18 1108 H So Miss 21-27 -6 7 --- -12.97 1120 H Louisiana 30-34 -4 6 --- -9.63 913 H Iowa St 16-24 -8 -6 - -2.19 1004 H Texas State 31-30 1 4 - -2.71 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 H Georgia So 31-21 10 4 +++ 6.03 1101 A Troy 23-10 13 -7 +++ 19.94 1218 N Missouri St 34-28 6 0 +++ 6.42 920 A Kennesaw St 21-28 -7 -9 + 2.28 1014 A So Alabama 15-14 1 -3 + 3.82 1129 A App St 30-29 1 -2 + 2.77 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Arkansas ( 2-10, 78.1) 14-56 -21.84 29.38 5.26 1.06 -8.81
3 H Iowa St ( 7- 4, 81.0) 16-24 -18.92 32.30 -5.26 1.06 -12.84
3 A Kennesaw St (10- 4, 73.9) 21-28 -25.97 25.25 5.26 1.06 -11.00
3 A La-Monroe ( 3- 9, 63.5) 16-28 -36.43 14.79 5.26 1.06 -16.56
3 H Texas State ( 5- 8, 71.5) 31-30 -28.44 22.78 -5.26 1.06 37.24
3 A So Alabama ( 4- 8, 67.5) 15-14 -32.42 18.80 5.26 1.06 51.12
3 H Georgia So ( 8- 6, 71.2) 31-21 -28.70 22.52 -5.26 1.06 36.69
3 A Troy ( 8- 6, 71.6) 23-10 -28.31 22.91 5.26 1.06 59.87
3 H So Miss ( 6- 7, 68.2) 21-27 -31.70 19.52 -5.26 1.06 -19.63
3 H Louisiana ( 7- 5, 69.5) 30-34 -30.35 20.87 -5.26 1.06 -18.92
3 A App St ( 5- 8, 66.4) 30-29 -33.48 17.74 5.26 1.06 48.88
3 N Missouri St ( 7- 6, 70.3) 34-28 -29.57 21.65 -0.00 1.06 46.01
------
192.04
|
winning pts = 279.7977 losing points = -87.7623
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------